"Comprehensive two-child policy is not enough to alleviate the problem of population aging in China"

Policy Description: China enacted a family planning policy in 1962 and began implementing the one-child policy in 1980. Until January 1, 2016, the two-child policy was introduced, and each couple could have two children. We examined the impact of China's family planning policy on the labor market. First, it explores the impact of family planning policies on the labor market, focusing on the impact of family planning policies on the size, quality, gender and age of the working-age population; and the interaction between family planning policies and population migration, population structure and The aging population shows regional and urban-rural differences. Second, it explores existing policies and the policies that may be introduced in the future and their potential consequences. As a result, it is found that due to the internal population movement in China, the problem of population aging in rural areas and inland provinces is more serious than in urban areas and coastal provinces that strictly implement the family planning policy. The simulation results of the policy effect show that in response to the problem of population aging in China, the new two-child policy has been too late and has little effect, and policies that are more conducive to childbearing should be considered.

Writer: Wang Fei School of Labor and Human Resources, Renmin University of China

 Zhao Liqiu School of Labor and Human Resources, Renmin University of China

 Zhao Zhong School of Labor and Human Resources, Renmin University of China