"Study on Precision Poverty Alleviation in the Context of Rural Population Aging"

Project leader: Yang Chengyu School of Economics and Business Administration, Beijing Normal University

Starting and ending date of the project: 2017.04.01-2019.04.01

Project Description:

(1) Research purposes

The purpose of this research is to combine the micro survey data and economic theory model to study the poverty problem laid down by the rural population ageing in China, analyze the internal relationship between aging and poverty, and combine the theoretical model to conduct policy experiments under different scenarios. The dynamic evolution of the future aging and poverty development in rural China.

(2) Main content

1. Demographic transition and aging in rural areas

This section is a measure of demographic transition and aging in rural areas. This section focuses on the micro-survey data to measure the demographic transition in rural areas, analyze the deep-seated causes of rural aging trends, and the consequences of rural aging.

2. Multidimensional poverty in rural areas and its dynamic changes

This section focuses on different forms of multidimensional poverty and its dynamic changes in rural areas. This topic attempts to measure the multi-dimensional poverty of rural population and different groups under AF multi-dimensional poverty and income-oriented multi-dimensional poverty to analyze the poverty status of different groups and their contribution to the overall multi-dimensional poverty index, which helps the poverty reduction process. Group targeting of important groups.

3. Research on poverty theory model under the background of aging

For rural families, there is a trade-off between pensions and the next generation of human capital investment: when the family’s pension burden is heavier, families may choose to reduce their investment in human capital, and many rural families may choose further Studying and studying and subsidizing households (Zou Wei and Zheng Hao, 2014); the birth rate in rural areas is higher than that in urban areas. When the number of children in rural families is large, high investment in education investment may also lead to the “education-income” poverty trap ( Zhang, 2014). Obviously, when families have a heavy burden on both pension and education investment, they may fall into poverty and form a multidimensional poverty trap (Dutta, 2015).

4. Policy experiment

There are two main types of policy tests: one is a policy test based on the results of micro survey data, and the other is a policy test based on the adjustment of policy parameters in a model after micro-survey data calibration.